Windstorm 1 is Hanging Out in the NW | Update 2

Updated 1:15 AM PDT

SUMMARY

Windstorm #1 has arrived with #2 on its heels.  So, what have you  done to prepare yourselves?You say, ‘It’s not that bad. I have been through other storms.’  Here’s why it is so important to start taking matters into your hands and #PrepareNOW (our very own hashtag)

WINDGUSTS IN THE LAST 24 HOURS – Reported by the National Weather Service.

WHY IT IS SO IMPORTANT

Why is this such a big event for the Pacific Northwest this year?  Higher than normal winds are blowing through the Pacific jet stream from a remnant of Typhoon Songda, that had reached the highest winds clocking in at 150 m.p.h.

The storm started as a Tropical Storm on October 9th, began picking up speed becoming a Typhoon on October 10th with winds reported as 120 m.p.h.

On October 11th, the storm had been deemed as a Super Typhoon with the highest winds at 150 m.p.h.! The following day, winds have lessened to around 120 m.p.h. becoming a Tropical Storm once again, but not before high winds are being carried around Alaska down to the great Pacific Northwest.

Winds will be considerable less but they will still be around the 40’s and into the 60’s, so please be careful when you go out or if you can stay in

PUBLIC SERVICE ANNOUNCEMENTS

ALERTS – FLOOD

Spokane & Stevens Counties:  Flood Watch in effect from Saturday morning (Washington Weather on Twitter)

ALERTS – ADVERSE WEATHER –  NWS/NOAA

ALERTS – ROAD CLOSURES

Road Closures: Skagit County DEM

ALERTS – RECREATIONAL ACTIVITIES

National Forests:  Too dangerous for walks, hikes and driving in wooded areas – Willamette National Forest

ALERTS – TRANSPORTATION

Washington State Ferries:   “Visibility is low across all routes at start of PM commute. Captains have closed outer decks, advises folks to stay seated.” – WSDOT Ferries

ALERT – WEATHER

WATCH : High winds, Flooding and Power outages on the Coast / Coast Range – NWS Portland (OR)

 

REPORT ROADWAY ISSUES

Pierce County, Washington – Report 24/7 to 253-798-6000 or piercecountywa.org/rfa.

Hood Canal Bridge (WA):  SR 104 Hood Canal Bridge closure to vehicles is scheduled at approx. 12:45 am on 10/15/16, expect up to a 60-minute delay (posted 11:56 PM PDT)

HOW TO PREPARE

HOW WOULD YOU PREPARE?

We took a recent Poll on Twitter asking the question:  “What 2 thing would you do to PrepareNOW for an Emergency?”

The Choices were Camp Outdoors, Bring your Generator indoors, Have water for 48 hours and Gas Up your car.

We had hoped no one would pick bringing in their Generator indoors, but 5% of those polled chose this answer.  Check out the reason why this could be so deadly to you and your family. (Check out the image under “What To Do When the Power Goes Out”)

Thank you to those who participated in the Poll.

WHEN THE POWER GOES OUT

Here are some ideas of what to have on hand to be Prepared for any type of Emergency, excluding Flooding in your home or inhabitable due to an Earthquake or Tornado:

BEING PREPARED FOR 3 DAYS

“We recommend the following to Building an Emergency Preparedness Kit, Preparation Tips and Ways to Protect You/Your Family Before/During/After an Event.  (Info based upon Fire, Police, Emergency Management and EMS articles, posts and knowledge)” – NWFB

Water:   Include one gallon per person for each day. Note:  Water along with food (unless otherwise labeled) should be changed out every six months.

Food:  Include items such as beef jerky, protein and/or granola bars, canned and/or vacuum packed canned foods and other non-perishables. (Don’t forget your pets and their pet food)

Medications:  Don’t forget to keep this on hand and have enough for the time allotted.  The Disaster or Emergency could last longer than 3 days, i.e. Power outages, Earthquakes, Tornadoes, etc.

Battery-powered Radio:  An alternative could be a hand-crank powered radio.  If you use a Battery operated radio, make sure you have extra batteries.

Flashlights:  There are also alternatives out there, such as, Battery-powered or Solar-powered Latterns. Do not use candles.  These lead to fires when candles are left unattended.

Matches:  These could be used to light pilot lights on gas stoves (inside homes- make sure no smell of gas in the air), camping stoves, fires in fireplaces, etc.

First Aid Kit:  Don’t feel like spending time or energy on putting together a Kit? You can visit various stores such as camping supply stores, specialty stores or the American Red Cross.

We recommend the following for a Kit (TIP:  You can visit the American Red Cross @ http://www.redcross.org/prepare/location/home-family/get-kit/anatomy to find a full and a complete list or to purchase your own)

  • Sterile gauze pads of different sizes
  • Adhesive tape
  • Scissors
  • Tweezers
  •  Elastic bandage
  • Antiseptic wipes
  • Soap
  • Splint
  • Alcohol wipes
  • Thermometer
  • Non-latex gloves
  • List of Emergency Phone Numbers (yours)

Great Resources:  3 Days, 3 Ways. Campaign  http://www.co.cowlitz.wa.us/DocumentCenter/View/58

INCIDENT COOPERATORS

Via our friends at the Washington State Public Health Agency

RESOURCES

UTILITIES

Pacific Power Portland  (OR):  Reporting downed power lines, call 9-1-1 then 1-877-508-5088.  “Always treat them as if they are LIVE power lines. Stay away!”

Puget Sound Energy (PSE):  Is Your Power out? Check out the  Outage Map   http://pse.com/accountsandservices/ServiceAlert/Pages/Outage-Map.aspx  or you can download for free their app

Seattle City Light:  Report outages to 206-684-3000 or 206-684-7400.  Outage Map:  http://www.seattle.gov/light/sysstat/

Snohomish PUD:  Report power outages to them @ 425-783-1001.

OUTAGES

UTILITIES

Snohomish County PUD:  13,000 customers are without power due to winds are picking up.

Seattle City Light:  7 power outages affecting 165 households per outage map.

STORM IMAGES

STORM SURGES

La Push, Washington:  US IOOS gov / NOAA reporting on 10/13/2016 storm rolling in.  Credit:  usioos.gov

SOCIAL MEDIA

WHAT’S BEING SAID ON MEDIA

“I  could care less if I have fuel in the car!  Water + food + shelter.” – Twitter user

“Early data tonight unchanged on strong windstorm track for . Differ on strength: “bad” and “real bad.” Waiting on more later.” – News media

“Wind will start around Olympia about 4-6 PM and in Seattle area a couple of hours later. Wind will pick up suddenly and hard.” – NWS Seattle

“Sat. storm watch: “Whoever gets hit, is going to get hit pretty hard” – Twitter user

“Weather hasn’t been to bad here yet in the Bellevue Area.” – Twitter user

“A Dock was seen heading westbound  floating down the Sammamish River towards Lake Washington.” – Bothell PD

“Right now, strongest effects from will be Seattle area westward.” – Weather source

“Consider postponing your trip this weekend! They’ll still be there next week!” – Washington State Parks

“Due to storms, could be transit interruptions.” – King County Metro  (Seattle, Washington).  Check out their site here –>  https://content.govdelivery.com/accounts/WAKING/bulletins/16b2167

“Winds likely E before switching southerly in eve. Expect high wind when southerlies arrive. Can’t specify on SE protection.” – NWS Seattle (@ 1AM PDT)

# # #

NW FIRE BLOG

Come, Follow Us on our Social Media Channels:  Twitter @nwfireblog and Facebook.

HASHTAGS BEING USED ON SOCIAL MEDIA

 #wawx  #wawind #orwx  #idwx  #TyphoonSongda

(c) 2016 The #NWFireBlog

 

 

UPDATE 2 |Hurricane #Patricia Downgraded

SUMMARY

Great News!

Hurricane #Patricia is weakening slowly and therefore has been downgraded from a Category 5 to a 4, but sill remains extremely dangerous as a major Hurricane over Mexico with min pressure of 946 mb and max sustained at 130 mph with higher gusts of winds.

The Hurricane is said to have made landfall around 0615 local time.

No injuries or specific damage reports have been received yet.

Hurricane #Patricia as of 0325 UTC or 2025 PDT on 10/23/15 [Courtesy of NOAA GOES East Imagery Sattelite]

Hurricane #Patricia as of 0325 UTC or 2025 PDT on 10/23/15 [Courtesy of NOAA GOES East Imagery satellite]

LOCATION

A Public  Advisory  given by NWS website at 0300 UTC or 2200 CDT state the Hurricane is moving 20 mph NNE.  It is now located 85 miles NNW of Manzanillo and 50 miles SE of Puerto Vallarta, Mexico.

 

 

WARNINGS

Hurricane Warning:  San Blas to Punta San Telmo.

Tropical Storm Warning:  East of Punta San Telmo to Lzaro Cardenas and N of San Blas to El Roblito.

ALERTS

The following States are on alert or have been impacted:

  • Aguacalentes
  • Colima
  • Durango
  • Mexico State
  • Guanajuato
  • Guerrero
  • Michogcan
  • Nayarit
  • Zactecas
  • Jalisco*

*  34 Municipalities in Jalisco have declared a state of emergency

FUTURE FORECAST

The Weather Service expect #Patricia will become a tropical storm tomorrow and a tropical depression in the afternoon.

(Source: http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh/MIATCPEP5+shtml/240242.shtml)

RAINFALL PREDICTED

Rainfall from Hurricane #Patricia is still expected to fall to accumulations of 8-12″ with  a max total of 20″ in isolated areas.  Heavy rainfall is due to impact Mexican States: Nayant, Jalisco, Colima, Michoacan and Guerrero through Saturday.

With this amount of rainfall, this could produce life-threatening flooding and mud slides.

COMMUNICATIONS

They are asking the Amateur Radio communities to keep 14,120 kHz and 21,120 kHz clear for possible emergency traffic. Emergency net has been established on 7060.

(Source:  http://www.arrl.org/news/radio-amateurs-in-mexico-prepare-as-powerful-hurricane-patricia-nears-landfall)

Hurricane #Patricia. [Courtesy of NWS]

Hurricane #Patricia. [Courtesy of NWS]

SOCIAL MEDIA

We will be providing  Updates gleaned from Social Media and on the internet.

If you feel we may have missed something, please let us know.  You can reach us on Twitter @nwfireblog or drop us a line at nwfireblog@comcast.net.

Storm Updates – Facebook Page “Hurricane Patricia”

https://www.facebook.com/groups/HurricanePatricia – Moderator:  Peter Corless.  The Page lists updates regarding the weather, Embassy info for UK residents, Preparations and personal commentaries by its members. 26 members to date.

Travel within Mexico

@fema : U.S. citizens traveling in Mexico, you can follow these for more information on Hurricane #Patricia. If you’re a US citizen traveling in Mexico, you can follow  @usembassyMEX, @travelgov @statedept .

Safe and Well Reporting

American Red Cross has a Safe and Well website you can register to let loved ones know you are safe and well or you can search friends and family on this website.  Here is the link –> http://www.redcross.org/find-help/contact-family/register-safe-listing

Message Board for the La Manzanilla Community

http://members5.boardhost.com/lamanzanilla/

UPDATES

We will continue to monitor the weather, status of the Hurricane and all other weather related damage assessment, injuries, etc.

OUR COMMENTARY

The Mexican people are in our thoughts and prayers as this Hurricane is directly impacting them. First Responders, be safe out there. We are thinking of you all.

(c) 2015 The #NWFireBlog

Social Media:  @nwfireblog / Twitter — The NW Fire Blog / Facebook


			

DISASTER FORECASTED | Hurricane #Patricia Strongest Ever Seen and Recorded

SUMMARY

Why all of a sudden with all the Alerts and sheer panic? Why are we just now hearing about this?

As one writes on Social Media:

The storm nearly literally “came out of nowhere.” It first was issued as an advisory on Tuesday at 10 AM, with the innocuous comment: “TROPICAL DEPRESSION FORMS SOUTH OF THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC… …EXPECTED TO STRENGTHEN…”

By 10 PM Tuesday, it was already “Tropical Storm Patricia.”

By 4:00 AM Thursday, it was “Hurricane Patricia.”

Usually on the Atlantic, you can watch the formation of hurricanes as they begin way out over the Atlantic. This storm just spawned as if it were “a match thrown onto a pool full of gasoline.”

So, there you have the best answer that we could locate – and, it totally makes sense.

IMMEDIATE BROADCASTS

The National Weather Center / Hurricane Center updated Public Safety Advisory #15 (http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh/MIATCPEP5+shtml/231448.shtml) at 1000 Hours CDT (NWS Hurricane Center in Florida),

“Potentially Catastrophic Hurricane Patricia moving Northward toward Landfall in Southwestern Mexico.”

It has been stated by the Weather Service, Hurricane #Patricia is the strongest eastern N Pacific Hurricane to be on record to hit landfall and considered the strongest tropical cyclone on record in terms of sustained speeds at 200mph.  Some sources are reporting that the Hurricane is also reaching gusts of 250mph.

Weather watches and warnings have been issued.  The Mexican Government has also issued their own Tropical Storm Warning and evacuation preparations began yesterday into working diligently overnight.

WARNINGS AND ADVISORIES

Hurricane Warning (Definition: Means that hurricane conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area, in this case within about 24 hours. Preparations to protect life and property should be rushed to completion.)

  • San Blas to Punta San Telmo

Hurricane Watch (Definition:  means that hurricane conditions are possible within the watch area.)

  • East of Punta San Telmo to Lazaro Cardenas

Tropical Storm Warning (Definition:  means that tropical storm conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area.)

  • East of Punta San Telmo to Lazaro Cardenas
  • North of San Blas to El Roblito

Preparation to Protect Life and Safety should be immediately moved to completion.

RAINFALL PREDICTED

Rainfall from Hurricane #Patricia is expected to be 8-12″ accumulations with some at a total of 20″ in isolated areas.  Heavy rainfall is due to impact Mexican States: Nayant, Jalisco, Colima, Michoacan and Guerrero through Saturday.

With this amount of rainfall, this could produce life-threatening flooding and mud slides.

US FLOOD ALERTS

There are Alerts about lower Coastal flooding in the South Central States:  in the New Orleans and Shreveport areas into Houston, TX.  Read this more detailed article here –> http://www.accuweather.com/en/weather-news/flooding-tropical-downpours-patricia-texas-oklahoma-central-us/53098639.

WIND CONDITIONS

Winds are predicted to reach Hurricane conditions in the warning areas in the next several hours. Worst conditions are expected to occur this afternoon / evening.

This Hurricane is predicted to be a Category 5 when it hits landfall is said to continue with sustained winds of 200 mph with higher gusts and is expected to travel North-Northeasterly across Western and Northern Mexico.  The forecast is predicting the Hurricane then will quickly weaken over the mountains.

STORM SURGE

Large to destructive waves are predicted to occur and cause life-threatening coastal flooding.

SURF

Swells are already affecting portions of the Southern Coasts in Mexico.

EMERGENCY COMMUNICATIONS

The Amateur Radio Operators in the Mexican State of Colima activated the Emergency net from the University of Colima by Omar Alvarez, XE1AO.  The net is operating on 7060 kHz.

They are asking the Amateur Radio communities to keep 14,120 kHz and 21,120 kHz clear for possible emergency traffic.

Reported so far:

  • Water Supply and most major grocery outlets closed in Manzanillo
  • Economic activity has been shut down in Manzanillo and Colima
  • Most tourists evacuated from all Coastal hotels
  • Evacuation of 60,000 residents currently under way
  • Colima still has some businesses open

(Source:  http://www.arrl.org/news/radio-amateurs-in-mexico-prepare-as-powerful-hurricane-patricia-nears-landfall)

Hurricane #Patricia. [Courtesy of NWS]

Hurricane #Patricia. [Courtesy of NWS]

RESOURCES

We will be providing Resource Info in each of our Updates.  If you feel we may have missed something, please let us know.  You can reach us on Twitter @nwfireblog or drop us a line at nwfireblog@comcast.net.

Facebook Page – “Hurricane Patricia”

https://www.facebook.com/groups/HurricanePatricia – Moderator:  Peter Corless.  The Page lists updates regarding the weather, Embassy info for UK residents, Preparations and personal commentaries by its members. 26 members to date.

OUR COMMENTARY

We have a lot of faith in Emergency Management and know they are working tirelessly  in evacuating people out of harm’s way.  Those in Mexico, you are in our thoughts and prayers.

(c) 2015 The #NWFireBlog